In 2025, competition in China's PVC exports will intensify, and trade barriers will become a hidden concern
China's PVC production capacity is expected to reach 28 million tons per year in 2025, but domestic demand is only 23 million tons. The excess capacity will be absorbed through exports. Research reports warn that countries such as India and Turkey may launch a new round of anti-dumping investigations on Chinese PVC. Coupled with the expansion of local production capacity in Southeast Asia (such as the commissioning of petrochemical projects in Vietnam), export competition will further intensify.
Chinese enterprises are avoiding trade risks through technological upgrades (such as high-grade resins) and building factories overseas (such as joint venture projects in the Middle East). In addition, tariff preferences among RCEP agreement member countries may become a key breakthrough point.
Analysts are calling on the industry to optimize the export structure and reduce low-price and homogeneous competition.
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The global demand for PVC will continue to grow in 2025, with Asia leading the consumption